Oldham Athletic AFC vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 1
OLD
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 2
SCU
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 2
WRE
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
3 - 0
OLD
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
3 - 2
EAS
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
DAR
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
0 - 4
CHE
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAN
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
CHE
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUX
0 - 0
CHE
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |