FA Cup 1/128
Global 5-1
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
OLD
0 - 1
DON
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
OLD
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
SCU
4 - 2
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
OLD
4 - 3
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
OLD
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |