Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Carlisle United
52 ELO 54
15.4% Tilt 3.3%
3678º General ELO ranking 4748º
96º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Oldham Athletic AFC
24.4%
Draw
28.5%
Carlisle United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
Carlisle United
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+23%
+24%
Carlisle United

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Carlisle United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2022
CRA
Crawley Town
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
52%
24%
24%
52 57 5 0
26 Feb. 2022
COL
Colchester United
1 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
38%
26%
36%
52 51 1 0
19 Feb. 2022
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
44%
25%
30%
51 54 3 +1
12 Feb. 2022
NEW
Newport County
3 - 3
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
58%
23%
19%
51 59 8 0
08 Feb. 2022
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
33%
25%
42%
50 57 7 +1

Matches

Carlisle United
Carlisle United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2022
CUM
Carlisle United
2 - 0
Rochdale
ROC
30%
26%
44%
52 57 5 0
26 Feb. 2022
LEY
Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
52%
25%
23%
51 57 6 +1
19 Feb. 2022
CUM
Carlisle United
0 - 3
Swindon Town
SWI
24%
24%
52%
52 59 7 -1
12 Feb. 2022
COL
Colchester United
2 - 2
Carlisle United
CUM
43%
26%
30%
52 52 0 0
08 Feb. 2022
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 3
Port Vale
POR
26%
26%
49%
52 61 9 0