Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Carlisle United
58 ELO 58
-3% Tilt -5.8%
3686º General ELO ranking 4758º
96º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
51.2%
Oldham Athletic AFC
25.6%
Draw
23.2%
Carlisle United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.2%
Win probability
Carlisle United
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+30%
+17%
Carlisle United

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Carlisle United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2013
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Colchester United
COL
54%
25%
22%
58 56 2 0
29 Mar. 2013
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
67%
21%
12%
58 70 12 0
19 Mar. 2013
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
3 - 0
Hartlepool United
HAR
53%
25%
22%
57 54 3 +1
16 Mar. 2013
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
32%
27%
41%
58 64 6 -1
09 Mar. 2013
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
1 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
52%
26%
23%
58 61 3 0

Matches

Carlisle United
Carlisle United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2013
SHE
Sheffield United
0 - 0
Carlisle United
CUM
74%
17%
9%
57 71 14 0
29 Mar. 2013
CUM
Carlisle United
2 - 2
Shrewsbury Town
STF
49%
24%
27%
57 59 2 0
23 Mar. 2013
CUM
Carlisle United
3 - 3
Yeovil Town
YEO
38%
26%
37%
56 63 7 +1
16 Mar. 2013
LEY
Leyton Orient
4 - 1
Carlisle United
CUM
54%
25%
20%
57 62 5 -1
09 Mar. 2013
CUM
Carlisle United
2 - 0
Brentford
BRE
32%
27%
41%
56 67 11 +1