Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 0
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 3
HAR
50%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
OLD
1 - 2
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
OLD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
OLD
2 - 2
SWI
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CUM
0 - 2
BHA
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CUM
3 - 0
TRA
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
CUM
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LEY
2 - 2
CUM
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 2
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |