Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 0
OLD
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
OLD
1 - 0
NTT
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
OLD
2 - 2
BOL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
CHL
4 - 3
OLD
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
OLD
2 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
CUM
0 - 1
BOL
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
NOT
2 - 1
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
WOL
4 - 0
CUM
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
CUM
1 - 1
LUT
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1976 |
CUM
1 - 1
BPO
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |