Oldham Athletic AFC vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1953 |
LIN
3 - 1
OLD
71%
17%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
OLD
1 - 1
PLY
62%
20%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1953 |
OLD
1 - 3
NOT
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1953 |
EVE
3 - 1
OLD
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1953 |
NOT
2 - 0
OLD
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1953 |
BRO
2 - 0
BCF
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1953 |
BCF
2 - 2
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1953 |
BCF
1 - 1
LIN
56%
22%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1953 |
HUL
3 - 0
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1953 |
LIN
0 - 0
BCF
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |