Oldham Athletic AFC vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
OLD
1 - 1
BHA
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
OXF
0 - 1
OLD
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
OLD
2 - 1
SUN
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1989 |
OLD
2 - 2
BRA
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
WOL
1 - 1
OLD
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
ARS
3 - 0
QPR
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 2
ARS
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
ARS
4 - 3
NOR
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |