Oldham Athletic AFC vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 0
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
OLD
3 - 0
EVE
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLD
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
BRA
0 - 0
OLD
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
OLD
3 - 1
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
62%
20%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
ARS
3 - 1
SHE
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |