Oldham Athletic AFC vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 0
BBU
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
PNE
1 - 1
OLD
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
MID
1 - 2
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
HUL
1 - 0
OLD
56%
21%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 2
NTT
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
BBU
1 - 0
ARS
75%
15%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
SWI
1 - 0
ARS
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |