Oldham Athletic AFC vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
STO
1 - 2
OLD
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 2
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
OLD
0 - 0
BRI
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 0
OLD
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 2
BPO
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SCA
4 - 0
STA
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ALD
0 - 0
STA
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
STA
2 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
STA
2 - 3
TAM
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FAR
2 - 1
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |