Oldenburger SV vs Nordmark Satrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
35.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
11º
8º
41
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRT
1 - 4
OLD
56%
19%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 4
UNI
17%
18%
66%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 6
OLD
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PRR
5 - 2
OLD
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLD
1 - 3
EIC
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
SVE
61%
18%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 2
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
ECK
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 5
TOD
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |