Old Road vs Tryum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
ORO
1 - 1
HOP
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ORO
3 - 2
SAP
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
PBU
0 - 1
ORO
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
GLA
1 - 3
ORO
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
ORO
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PBU
3 - 1
TRY
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
TRY
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2017 |
TRY
3 - 3
EGF
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
TRY
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TRY
3 - 0
LIB
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |