Old Road vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ORO
2 - 0
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TRY
0 - 2
ORO
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FIV
0 - 1
ORO
49%
21%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ORO
2 - 2
HOP
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ORO
3 - 1
FIV
30%
21%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAP
0 - 2
GRE
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAP
3 - 2
LIB
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
HOP
0 - 2
SAP
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SAP
1 - 4
SWE
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
VLI
0 - 2
SAP
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |