Old Road vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ORO
3 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ORO
4 - 3
VIR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ORO
4 - 0
GOL
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ORO
0 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SEA
0 - 6
ORO
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAP
5 - 1
ALL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 1
BAS
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAP
4 - 1
SEA
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
SAP
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAP
3 - 1
GOL
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |