Old Road vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
GOL
0 - 4
ORO
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
PTI
1 - 1
ORO
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 5
ORO
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ORO
3 - 1
VLI
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HOP
0 - 2
ORO
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 2
SAP
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
SAP
1 - 1
PTI
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
HOP
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 4
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |