Old Road vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ORO
5 - 0
GLA
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
ORO
2 - 2
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EGF
2 - 0
ORO
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
EGF
2 - 4
ORO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ORO
1 - 2
OTT
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
PBU
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HOP
1 - 0
PBU
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
PBU
1 - 1
GRE
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PBU
5 - 1
VIR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
SAP
1 - 1
PBU
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |