Old Road vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ORO
4 - 3
VIR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ORO
4 - 0
GOL
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ORO
0 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SEA
0 - 6
ORO
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ORO
2 - 1
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
ALL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ORO
0 - 0
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 3
HOP
47%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |