Olbia Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 0
OLB
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
OLB
2 - 0
PON
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TER
2 - 2
OLB
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 2
OLB
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OLB
4 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FER
3 - 0
IMO
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CES
4 - 0
FER
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TER
3 - 2
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |