Olaria vs Miguel Couto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
TIG
4 - 0
OLA
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 1
OLA
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
OLA
2 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
OLA
0 - 1
TIG
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
OLA
1 - 2
BAN
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Miguel Couto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ANG
2 - 3
MIG
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MIG
0 - 2
BAN
19%
24%
57%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2008 |
SEC
1 - 0
MIG
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
MIG
1 - 0
IFC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CER
0 - 0
MIG
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |