Olaria vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 1
OLA
63%
21%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
OLA
1 - 0
GOY
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OLA
1 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLA
64%
21%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
OLA
1 - 3
BOA
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 2
MAC
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
CRA
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |