Olaria vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
OLA
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 2
FRI
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
2 - 0
VOL
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
OLA
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 2
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BON
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 1
RES
41%
23%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |