Olaria vs Céres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
OLA
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
OLA
0 - 0
ANG
62%
23%
14%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 2
OLA
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AME
2 - 3
OLA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
OLA
41%
25%
33%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CER
0 - 0
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 3
CER
23%
24%
54%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CER
2 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CER
1 - 1
GOY
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 3
CER
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |