Olaria vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
OLA
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
OLA
2 - 2
MAD
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
OLA
1 - 0
FLA
14%
19%
67%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
OLA
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FRI
1 - 0
OLA
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
CAB
2 - 0
BOT
11%
16%
73%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CAB
0 - 0
AME
15%
21%
65%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
VAS
5 - 1
CAB
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
3 - 3
CAB
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |