Olaria vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
OLA
1 - 0
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
VOL
1 - 3
OLA
46%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
OLA
1 - 1
FLU
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MAD
4 - 1
OLA
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
OLA
2 - 0
CAB
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CAB
0 - 3
BOT
6%
17%
78%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BOT
1 - 1
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
SCI
3 - 0
BOT
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BOT
4 - 2
VOL
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |