Oktan Perm vs Gornyak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oktan Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
KHI
2 - 1
OKT
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
OKT
2 - 0
RUB
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
DIN
1 - 0
OKT
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
OKT
0 - 0
UFA
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
OKT
4 - 0
SYZ
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +5 |
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
GUC
2 - 1
NEF
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
NOS
1 - 1
GUC
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
GUC
0 - 1
VOL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
AKT
0 - 2
GUC
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
GUC
1 - 0
TYU
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |