OKS vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
9º
4º
21
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OKS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 0
OKS
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
OKS
3 - 2
MAR
43%
22%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
B19
1 - 1
OKS
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
OKS
1 - 5
VEJ
7%
15%
78%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
OKS
2 - 2
TAR
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
HED
18%
21%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIN
4 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
TAR
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
OFA
2 - 1
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
OKS
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |