Świt Skolwin vs Kalisz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
16º
8º
3
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
0 | 62 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
3 | 56 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 53 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 51 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 50 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 50 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 50 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 48 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 47 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 45 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 42 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 42 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 41 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 32 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 29 |
18º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14.5% | 24% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31.5% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
CHR
2 - 2
SKO
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
SKO
1 - 4
BOI
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
CHO
5 - 3
SKO
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SKO
0 - 0
LKS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
ZAG
0 - 2
SKO
37%
25%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kalisz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KAL
0 - 3
ZAW
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 1
TKP
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
WIE
3 - 1
KAL
59%
22%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 1
MGJ
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 0
POD
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |