FA Cup Previa 1
Global 4-2
Okehampton Argyle vs Brixham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
47.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brixham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 2
BFC
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 0
AFC
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 5
TIV
7%
11%
83%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SHE
4 - 0
BFC
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 3
BFC
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | +1 |