Oita Trinita vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
OIT
2 - 0
KAA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
KYO
1 - 1
OIT
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
OIT
1 - 1
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
KAW
2 - 1
OIT
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
JEF
2 - 1
OIT
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
THE
0 - 2
CON
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
THE
2 - 5
EHI
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
THE
0 - 0
SAG
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VEG
5 - 2
THE
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
THE
0 - 0
SHO
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |