Oita Trinita vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
60%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
URA
4 - 3
OIT
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OIT
0 - 0
KAR
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FCT
2 - 0
OIT
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
SAG
3 - 2
OIT
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
NAG
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAG
48%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
JUB
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
URA
3 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
OMI
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
VEG
0 - 2
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |