Oita Trinita vs Parceiro Nagano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
OIT
1 - 2
JUB
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
OMI
3 - 2
OIT
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
YOK
1 - 0
OIT
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OIT
0 - 1
ZWE
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OIT
2 - 0
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAG
2 - 0
PAR
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
5 - 1
YSC
75%
18%
7%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
JLE
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
REN
1 - 2
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |