Oita Trinita vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
GAM
1 - 0
OIT
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
OIT
1 - 0
URA
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
JUB
3 - 1
OIT
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
OIT
1 - 2
JEF
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
OIT
1 - 2
KAA
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
NAG
2 - 1
FCT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
URA
0 - 3
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
NAG
1 - 1
KYO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
5 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
3 - 0
NAG
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |