Oita Trinita vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
57.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
GIR
3 - 0
OIT
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 0
YOK
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
OIT
2 - 1
GAI
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
OIT
2 - 2
ROA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
KYO
2 - 0
OIT
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
FCT
3 - 0
GAI
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
FAG
0 - 2
FCT
10%
21%
69%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
MIT
2 - 3
FCT
15%
24%
61%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
TOK
70%
21%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ROA
0 - 1
FCT
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |