Oita Trinita vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VIS
3 - 2
OIT
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
OIT
0 - 1
MON
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
URA
1 - 0
OIT
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OIT
0 - 0
ALB
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
OIT
1 - 0
KYO
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCT
1 - 2
JEF
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FCT
1 - 2
KAA
36%
25%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
JUB
0 - 1
FCT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCT
1 - 0
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
URA
3 - 1
FCT
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |