FK Ogre vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Ogre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RCR
2 - 3
FKS
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
REZ
3 - 1
RCR
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
RCR
2 - 1
VAL
23%
22%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
AUD
4 - 0
RCR
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
RCR
1 - 9
LME
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LME
7 - 2
BFC
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FSM
2 - 0
BFC
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
RIG
2 - 4
BFC
69%
18%
12%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
BFC
4 - 2
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |