Nikšić vs Kom Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
10º
10º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
IGA
3 - 1
OFK
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
OFK
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
FKM
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 2
OFK
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 3
KOM
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kom Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
KOM
2 - 1
IGA
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
KOM
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
KOM
2 - 1
FKM
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
KOM
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BOK
2 - 2
KOM
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |