Offenburger FV vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
80.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
OFF
2 - 1
FRE
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
OFF
0 - 0
SPI
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
OFF
1 - 0
KEH
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 3
OFF
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
OFF
1 - 0
STU
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STP
1 - 1
ING
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 0
STP
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
STP
1 - 1
ABE
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
STP
5 - 0
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SGD
1 - 0
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |