Offenburger FV vs Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
OFF
1 - 1
NEC
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
SIN
0 - 0
OFF
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OFF
1 - 2
AST
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 1
OFF
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 2
OFF
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 1
SIN
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
NOT
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
HOL
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
KSC
0 - 2
HOL
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +2 |