OFC Sliven 2000 vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
75.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFC Sliven 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
SLI
2 - 5
ASE
9%
18%
73%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
SPA
7 - 0
SLI
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SLI
1 - 5
VER
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DIM
7 - 1
SLI
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SLI
5 - 4
LEV
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
NES
1 - 1
ROZ
76%
15%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
ASE
5 - 1
NES
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NES
2 - 3
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
VER
7 - 1
NES
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NES
1 - 0
DIM
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |