Les Mureaux vs PSG II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
5º
30
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Mureaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 4
LMU
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 1
LMU
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
4 - 0
LMU
46%
28%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LMU
1 - 2
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MFC
3 - 2
LMU
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PSG
3 - 2
DRA
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 3
PSG
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PSG
0 - 1
MFC
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
PSG
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PSG
0 - 2
IVR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |