Les Mureaux vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
PFC
74%
19%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
FCR
1 - 0
MET
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
RED
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
COL
0 - 0
MET
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
BOU
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |