Les Mureaux vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
14º
14º
39
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Mureaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
LMU
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LMU
0 - 1
CHA
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AGC
2 - 0
LMU
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LMU
1 - 4
LUL
44%
25%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PSG
1 - 3
LMU
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 1
FLE
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAE
5 - 1
SAI
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
5 - 0
CAE
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
RAC
12%
19%
70%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |