Oeste vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 1
OES
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
OES
1 - 1
BRA
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
OES
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
OES
1 - 3
BRA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 1
OES
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
TUP
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
AVA
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 2
NAU
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 3
CRB
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
NAU
38%
29%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |