Odder vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
KJE
2 - 2
ODD
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ODD
1 - 3
VEJ
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 4
ODD
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ODD
0 - 4
KOL
12%
20%
67%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DAL
4 - 1
ODD
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AAF
2 - 0
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DAL
0 - 1
AAF
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KJE
0 - 0
AAF
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AAF
3 - 2
VEJ
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
AAF
1 - 5
AGF
6%
13%
80%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | -1 |