Odder vs Aarhus Fremad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
28
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 3
ODD
21%
19%
61%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
ODD
2 - 2
BRA
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
VEJ
2 - 2
ODD
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ODD
1 - 0
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ODD
2 - 3
RIN
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
AAR
3 - 0
DJU
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HED
0 - 0
AAR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AAR
2 - 1
MAR
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
SYD
0 - 2
AAR
21%
21%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 1
AAR
27%
23%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |