Odder IGF vs Sydvest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
70.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odder IGF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
OIG
1 - 2
RIN
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
TBK
1 - 0
OIG
57%
22%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sydvest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 2
ODD
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
RIN
3 - 2
SYD
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SYD
3 - 2
MID
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
JAM
3 - 1
SYD
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
SYD
4 - 0
RIN
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |