Odd III vs Bærum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ODS
3 - 4
BRY
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
ODS
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ODS
3 - 1
ALG
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
ODS
28%
22%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ODS
7 - 1
IEX
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LOM
8 - 1
BAE
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAE
5 - 1
MJO
31%
21%
48%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
AIF
5 - 1
BAE
48%
20%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
BAE
0 - 3
SFO
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
BAE
35%
21%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |