OCPAM vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+179%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
14º
6º
34
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 36 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OCPAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
OCP
3 - 0
LPV
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DIE
1 - 2
OCP
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OCP
1 - 1
RCC
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PDC
1 - 3
OCP
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
OCP
1 - 1
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LEN
0 - 2
DIE
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
RCC
0 - 1
LEN
19%
19%
63%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LEN
1 - 2
PDC
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LEN
0 - 3
DRA
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |