O'Connor Knights vs West Canberra Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.3%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
1º
0
8º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUN
0 - 1
OKF
41%
22%
38%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
OKF
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 2
OKF
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
OKF
43%
21%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 2
CAN
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
West Canberra Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WWF
2 - 4
TUG
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 2
WWF
93%
5%
1%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WWF
1 - 3
MON
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COO
2 - 1
WWF
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WWF
1 - 3
CAN
7%
11%
82%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |